An independent think tank at the Riigikogu High-level scenario building in Estonia
The Head of the Foresight Centre Tea Danilov addressed the international seminar “Towards bridging science and decision-making”.
Danilov sees scenarios as an excellent way of shaping policies because the future is not pre-determined and the scenarios help to envision possible developments and their impact on Estonia. The scenarios help us to see the future in a less black-and-white way, point out possible development avenues and options, and analyse their pros and cons.
The scenarios developed through the Foresight Centre studies offer policy shapers information on possible risks, and prepare them to consider ways to ground the risks as early as possible.
Tea Danilov: High-level scenario building in Estonia
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27.06 2025Current low birth rate will lead to up to 1.3 billion euros less tax revenue in the future
In its new short report “The impact of population ageing and low birth rate on long-term state revenue and expenditure”, the Foresight Centre notes that the lower than projected birth rate will reduce government spending on family policy and education, but in the long term, it will mean up to 1.3 billion euros less in tax revenue.