Due to an ageing and shrinking population, the role of older people in the labour market is growing. However, Estonia cannot expect a significant increase in their employment rate, as it is already among the highest in Europe, as highlighted by the Foresight Centre in its new short report.
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The Foresight Centre notes in its new short report, “Does Platform Work Support Careers?” that a fifth of people providing ride-hailing or courier services via platforms are at a dead end of their careers, working full-time in a field for which they consider themselves overqualified.
Eurostat’s latest forecast shows that over the next fifty years, life expectancy in Estonia will rise to 85 years and expected working life may extend to 45 years. According to the Foresight Centre’s new short report, “Extending Working Life and Lifelong Learning”, a longer working life means that people will need to update their skills, change career paths, or learn new ways of working.
The Foresight Centre’s new research stream will focus on examining the types of lifelong learning systems Estonia will need in the future, given its ageing population. The report, which will be completed in the spring, shows key trends and possible scenarios in a situation where the working-age population is shrinking, working years are increasing, and the continuous updating of skills by older people is becoming more and more important.
The report, commissioned by the Foresight Centre, finds that in the future, an increasingly smaller generation of young people will shoulder greater responsibility in both economy and society. At the same time, the mental health crisis is hindering young people’s independence, decision-making abilities and participation in society.
It is likely that in the event of a dispute, the employment status of platform couriers and platform taxi drivers would be classified as an employment relationship in Estonia, according to a legal analysis commissioned by the Foresight Centre. In Europe, most court disputes have resulted in platform workers being classified as employees, and the platforms have changed their work organisation after that.
Over the last decade, the share of culture and sports in total government spending has decreased and more private funding is needed to ensure the vitality of these fields. According to the Foresight Centre’s new short report “State Funding Patterns for Culture and Sports”, this is easier to do for sports than for culture.
According to the new short report by the Foresight Centre, restricting access to social media does not provide children and young people with sufficient protection from the risks of the digital world. The best solutions for mitigating risks include combining platform regulations with the development of young people’s digital competence.
The increasing NATO defence spending means there is an opportunity for Estonia to strongly develop its local defence industry. Its volume could grow to up to 6% of GDP in the next ten years. However, the growth of the local defence industry depends on Estonia’s ability to resolve its labour, regulatory and capital issues, according to the Foresight Centre’s new short report.
A survey commissioned by the Foresight Centre revealed that people trust the police and other state institutions much less when it comes to intimate partner violence than in other situations. At the same time, those who have been directly or recently exposed to violence trust women’s support centres and Victim Support (Ohvriabi) highly.